Rainfall events are expected to intensify everywhere because warmer air can hold more moisture. However, testing this relationship with observations across warmer regions and periods sometimes seem to contradict this expectation, showing negative or inconsistent trends. Our new study published in Nature Communications and led by Sarosh shows that it is mainly the cooling effect of clouds associated with rainfall that causes these discrepancies. By accounting for this effect, we resolve the apparent mismatch between observations and theory, providing evidence of increases in extreme rainfall with warmer temperatures. More information in this blogpost and in the paper.